Betting the 2016 AAMI Victoria Derby – Betting and Odds

October 21, 2016 1:52 pm

With the first day of the Melbourne Cup Spring Carnival just days away, punters and racing fans are starting to make their way towards the province of Victoria. Starting on October 31, Flemington Racecourse in Melbourne will be running some of the most important races on the Australian horse racing Calendar.

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Introducing the AAMI Victoria Derby

Traditionally, the first day of the Melbourne Cup Spring Carnival is referred to as Derby Day Melbourne. This is based on the day’s feature race known as the Victoria Derby. Australia’s AAMI Victoria Derby is one of the nation’s premiere racing events for 3-year old colts, geldings and fillies. While it might not have the same level of prestige as the three races that make up Australia’s Triple Crown, it’s stands alone as the most prestigious race on the Spring racing schedule for 3-year old of either sex.

The race is run at the galloping distance of 2500 meters (1 9/16 miles) on turf. A full field of talented 3-year olds will face the barrier for a total purse of $1,500,000 with weights assigned under allowance conditions. Each year, the Victoria derby draws many of the best sophomores in the nation, all looking to secure a spot in the summer’s run for the Australian Triple Crown.

How to Handicap the Victoria Derby

Based on prior Victoria Derby results, this particular Group 1 event is time and again one of the most difficult 3-year old races to handicap. Each year, a large field of young horses is filled with some that have already shown their class versus others that are just coming into their own. By itself, that creates a handicapping dilemma for anyone looking to do their own prognostications. Since Derby Day tips 2016 figure to all over the place and offer very few clues about the real chances of each entrant, punters are left to their own devices to come up with a winner, using nothing more than a Form Guide. Of course, Derby Day tips 2016 can be very useful at helping punters identify possible contenders.

Australian Derby betting for the Victoria Derby requires punters to focus on horses that are being asked to do something they have never been asked to do through the early part of their racing careers. As 2-year olds, most of the horses in this race have never raced beyond 2000 meters ( 1 1/8 miles). In order to try to identify horses that will be able to get the distance, handicappers need some working knowledge of pedigree. The ability to determine which horses are actually bred to get a distance of ground tends to give someone a great handicapping advantage under these circumstances.

Beyond pedigree, class is the only other reliable factor that carries any relevance. Horses that have already shown the ability to compete at the highest level have a distinct advantage over those that are lightly raced. Of course, there is always the possibility that a lightly raced horse with immense talent will show great development from one race to the next because of maturity. When a young horse finally gets it all figured out, they can go from also-rans to superstars in a hurry.

Betting the Victoria Derby

Divine Prophet, winner of last week’s Group 1 Caulfield Guineas, figures to be listed as the early favorite headed towards the barrier. This one has all the markings of a very talented horse on the improve. If he should fail to fire on race day, the 2016 Victoria Derby is wide open. If that be the case, punters will want to start looking for horses that figure to show a big improvement at a nice price. That’s how someone makes a big score betting horses.

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