It’s going to be a close election but Obama is the likely victor

November 4, 2012 2:05 pm

Obama and Christie – ‘best of buddies’.

On Tuesday, America will decide on their next president. Will President Obama keep that title or will Republican, Mitt Romney, steal it? That is the question on everyone’s minds. This year the race seems to be extremely close, with a recent poll by ABC News and the Washington Post putting Obama and Romney on the same percentage of votes.

Obama isn’t particularly liked amongst Americans and neither is Mitt Romney, which doesn’t really make the American people optimistic about their future. Obama has been described by partial supporters as “the lesser of the two evils” and looks at the moment to have the edge, but at the end of the day it will all come down to which candidate can win the majority of the important states: Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Florida. Swing state Ohio is the crown jewel. No Republican candidate has ever won the election without Ohio, meaning if Obama can win over the Buckeye state then he looks like he won’t be changing his address anytime soon.

As mentioned in my recent article, Obama may lose some votes in the New York and New Jersey areas, as potential Democratic voters will be more concerned with their own welfare than voting. This means nothing is for certain in this election. But the hurricane’s damage to Obama’s campaign may not be as severe as first thought. His endorsement from Michael Bloomberg, the Mayor of New York, and his new “bromance”, as Piers Morgan put it, with Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey means undecided voters may swing towards voting back in the current president. Eight out of ten Americans believe Obama handled Sandy well, meaning he may have gained some new fans. The handling of such national events can make or break a presidency as George W. Bush found out after his abhorrent dealing of Katrina. Obama’s positive handling of “Frankenstorm” may provide enough votes for him to remain the president.

This election is shaping up to be a close and very interesting one. It could go either way, but I personally believe Obama will serve another term in the White House. It’s going to be tight, but I do not believe Romney has enough support from his own party to beat Obama. My prediction is Obama will win Ohio and subsequently win the election, but as I have said it will still be close.

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